Demand Forecasting & Inventory Planning | Financial Model

Assignment Objective 
Design a one-year demand forecasting, inventory planning, and budgeting model for biscuit consumption at a co-working center, accounting for the provided data related to demand, satisfaction constraints, wastage, shelf-life differences, lead times, and buffer stock.

Description of the financial model
- Built a dynamic demand forecasting and inventory planning model for fuel bars at a co-working center to estimate consumption, ordering, wastage, and costs. Key inputs were provided by the hiring company.

- Forecasts biscuit demand using three scenarios.

- Converts headcount into gram-level consumption and SKU-wise unit demand, using allocation based on cost per gram (provided) to optimize spend.

- Enables scenario testing through adjustable inputs, with automatic recalculation of demand, inventory levels, and expenditure.

- Compares shelf-life–based restocking vs. monthly just-in-time ordering to evaluate cost and wastage trade-offs.

- Provides clear cost visibility and procurement decision support, balancing operational efficiency with satisfaction and quality constraints.

Model improvements
- Introduced an absenteeism and no-show adjustment across members, staff, and event attendees to bridge the gap between theoretical capacity and actual consumption.

- Enables mixed-scenario analysis, allowing different demand assumptions across consumers while automatically recalculating consumption, ordering quantities, inventory levels, wastage, and total costs for each combination.

19 Jun 2025

Keywords
Financial Modelling
Data Analysis
Forecasting

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